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Home / Health / The key coronavirus model predicts an increase in mortality of almost 80 percent by February

The key coronavirus model predicts an increase in mortality of almost 80 percent by February



The key model predicts approximately 171,000 coronavirus-related deaths by February 2021, which could be 78 percent.

The University of Washington School of Medicine’s Institute of Health Metrics and Health Assessment model estimates that there will be approximately 389,087 deaths by February 1.

If all Americans use face masks, the model’s best-case scenario assumes 314,000 deaths by that date. However, the model provides for more than 477,000 deaths in the event of mitigation.

“We expect mortality to stop declining and increase over the next week or two,” the researchers said, according to CNN. “The winter surge seems to have started a little later than the surge in Europe. Daily deaths will reach more than 2,000 a day in January, even if many countries revise their mandates by the end of the year.”

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As of Thursday morning, the United States now accounts for approximately 52,345 new daily cases, up 16 percent from the previous week.

An analysis of COVID-19 data from Johns Hopkins University found that 21 states recorded a peak in the average weekly averages of new cases since the beginning of the pandemic, CNN reports.

Among the states with an increasing number of new cases are Alaska, Colorado, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Mexico, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Dakota. , West Virginia, Wisconsin and Wyoming.

Health experts warn that the number of cases will continue to rise as the weather cools and people move around the room.

Anthony FociAnthony FauciTrump teaches about coronavirus, conspiracy theories in town hall Chris Christie says he was “wrong” not to wear a face mask to the White House at night Health care: Georgia gets Trump’s approval for Medicaid requirements, partial expansion | McConnell is shooting coronavirus deals worth $ 8 trillion, the government ‘s chief expert on infectious diseases, warned on Thursday that American families should “assess the risks and benefits” of collecting thanks for spreading the coronavirus.

“This time we really need to be careful, and each individual family appreciates the risks and benefits, especially when people come to you from outside the city, who may have been on airplanes, at airports,” Foci said.

He called the current situation in the United States “quite worrying [and] we really need to double the basic health measures that we talk about every day, because they can change the situation. “




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