• As the deadline of March 29 is approaching rapidly and no agreement was reached in Britain on the agreement, the Parliament will vote at 17:00. Thursday on whether to schedule a scheduled date for a country from the European Union.
• Legislators twice rejected the proposed withdrawal agreement with Prime Minister Teresa May. On Wednesday they came to her, missing out on measures that resisted any attempt to go without a deal
• Ms. May remains in power, but she is seriously compromised. Many conservatives supported the anti-non-agreement movement, against her desire, and several members of her cabinet refused to vote against, which led to speculation, she lost control of her party and the process.
Britain tries to buy for some time
After several months of turbulent and generally recognized threats and political impediments, parliament is paralyzed, which means that Legislators are now likely to try to stop the clock before the March 29 date. The parliament returns on Thursday for the third consecutive day during the Brexit vote, and it is widely believed that the legislators will support measures aimed at delaying.
But if voting for a delay delays, it also creates new problems. 19659002] First, any delay will require approval from the other 27 member states of the European Union. And the big question is, what delays will be provided and what will be achieved.
Many experts say that the European Union is likely to continue, although, how long will it last, less definite. Some supporters of Brexit fear that extending the deadline too far into the future may mean that "the ride will never happen." But a short delay will bring its own problems.
Elections to the European Parliament are scheduled to begin on May 23, so if the deadline is postponed after that date, Britain will be obliged to elect European legislators, even if it is trying to complete the exit from the bloc.
Moreover, the government of Mrs. May had to negotiate more than two years with her Brussels deal. If the majority had somehow come up with a new exit agreement, such an offer would have to be discussed with Brussels, and nobody thinks that a new deal may be reached by the end of May, assuming that Brussels will even play a role. . the question remains: British lawmakers have stated that they are opposed to abandonment without a deal, the prospect they say could lead to catastrophic damage to the economy, chaos in the ports and the shortage of food and medicine. But if they do not actually vote for the deal, then it's still planned.
Will legislators take control?
Four amendments are voted on by four amendments, including one that can effectively control the Brexit process from Prime Minister Teresa May, allowing Parliament to consider alternatives to its plan, and another call to time for a second referendum.
One that was to be observed was proposed by Hillary Benn, an opposition lawmaker and former minister, with the support of some of the senior conservatives. . She will insist that lawmakers leave Wednesday the next series to hold a series of operational votes on various plans, including those that maintain closer ties with the bloc to determine which of them have the best chance of involving the parliamentary majority. the so-called indicative votes will take place the day before it is planned that Ms. May will be held at the summit of the European Union leaders and, if the legislators ask her, to ask for Brexit to be postponed.
There is another amendment that requires the Brexit process to be extended to allow the Parliament to find the majority for another approach, but this is less likely because it was officially offered by the opposition Labor Party.
Also included is a correction from Sarah Wollaston. an independent legislator who called for the extension of the second referendum to be prolonged, although it is expected that he will not have the majority.
And another amendment from the labor legislator, Chris Bryant, claims that Ms. Mae should not be allowed to re-enter her agreement to the House of Commons.
This aims to disrupt the plans of Mrs. May to return to her unpopular plan for the parliament for the third time next week before the parliament can potentially receive
The choice of amendments is the task of the speaker, John Berkow, who was infuriated by Brexit cruel liners, refusing to plan for voting on an amendment aimed at excluding the possibility of a second referendum. 19659022] European leaders hint at readiness for a long delay
Delaying Brexit can happen only with the consent of the European Union, and recently the opinion of its leaders seems tougher. Many have not seen opportunities for further negotiations; it seemed that only general elections or the second Brexit referendum would justify Britain postponing its departure for more than a few months.
This seems to have changed on Thursday when Donald Tusk, President of the European Council, said that European leaders should be "open to prolonged" UK membership.
Comments will emphasize the threat of Mrs. May for the Brecken politicians: if they do not support her agreement at the third vote next week, they will face a long delay on Brexit, during which the thought may go over to a deal that holds closer ties. with a block, or even another referendum.
Simon Cowini, Irish Foreign Minister, has suggested that even a 21-month extension is an opportunity that will lead to the UK's release by the end of 2020.
May struggles to remain at the head
Prime Minister Teresa May insists that the possibility of Brexit without an agreement should remain an option, arguing that removing her from her talks rsenal will deny her influence on relations with The European Union.
However, when the parliament convened on Wednesday, she supported the proposal to ask legislators to declare they opposed the withdrawal from the European Union on March 29 if no agreement was reached
The Parliament went one more step and voted against the withdrawal from block without a deal under any circumstances, at any time – a sharp blame Mrs. May.
t the party challenged her, and there is little reason to suspect that she will be the last.
On Tuesday legislators frankly rejected 391 votes against 242, an agreement that Ms. Mae had agreed with officials of the European Union, including Changes made at the last minute aimed at persuading disobedient legislators who expressed concern that Britain can endlessly fall under some of the economic rules of the bloc.
This suggests Ms. May's hard struggle for a tiny situation. She was less clear than the first vote on the deal, which lost 230 votes in January, which caused an amazing margin in the parliament for 650 seats.
British governments rarely lose significant parliamentary votes, but Ms. Mee has experienced several Brexit-related failures and cabinet retirements, which usually means the termination of the term of office of the Prime Minister.
But the whispering of the strategy turns out to be true
Even in February, a television journalist sitting at a hotel bar in Brussels, heard the head of the British negotiator, Bretxette, Ollie Robbins, talking to his colleagues. The journalist picked up what he called the "extraordinary" admission that flew in front of the public promise of prime minister Teresa May.
The plan, said Mr Robbins, was that the government in March presented Brexit supporters with an unpleasant choice: vote for Ms. Mey's redrafted agreement or keep up the process.
British political class was instantly loud. The Foreign Minister denied that there was no such plan. Ms. Mae has until now insisted that Britain leaves the European Union on March 29 and that any delay is unthinkable.
Well, we move quickly to this day, and Mrs. May does as Mr Robbins assumed. For all the chaos and humiliation of the past two days, legislators advocating for Brexit are under pressure to accept an agreement they have twice rejected.
Negotiations on the Trump Commercial Potential
Prospects of a trade agreement between Britain and the United States State after Brexit lasted two years.
Before President Trump enters into office, he said that the pact could be reached "very quickly." The proposals are too favorable for the European Union, and in November he warned that its plan meant that Britain would "not be able to trade with us."
On Thursday, Mr Trump sounded more optimistic. However, he can resist the influx of parliament.
Trump was in alliance with some of Brexit's most serious supporters, like Nigel Faraj. And Brexit supporters signed an agreement on trade with the United States as one of the prizes of a comprehensive break with the European Union. Decisions by legislators have recently made such a harsh Brexit – and such a large-scale trade agreement – much less likely.
A potential surprise is hidden in the book of parliamentary rules. Wednesday it was argued that the speaker, John Bercoe, has the technical right to stop the government from returning the revocation agreement, twice rejected by a large majority, to a third vote.
deeply in the book of the rules of parliament, the work of the 19th century old scribe called Ersin May. On page 397 of the rules book, it is stated that submissions or amendments that are "identical in substance as a matter that was resolved during a session can not be put forward again at the same session."
Constitutional nervousness followed, it was found that the last official of the House of Commons had thrown cold water on this idea back in October.
Sir David Nazller. In other words, Mr Burkov, a successive backer, is unlikely to impede the third ballot if the deputies really want to vote for it.
"For him, it would be ridiculous to apply the rule, the literal construction of the rule, if he disappoints what the House wants," said Jack Simson Kherd, a former scholar of the House of Commons, who is a Senior Researcher at the Benghami Rule of Law Center
Many discussions on Thursday morning, when most commentators came to the conclusion that Mr Berkou, who opposed Brexit in a referendum, and proved his willingness to disrupt the agenda of Mrs. May – but hardly had this particular hand grenade on her.
said , we are in a weird way constitutional time, and the parliament is looking for ways to play a role, since Brexit's time countdown will reach the last stage. "This is absolutely unprecedented," said Mr. Kerd, "The system really can not cope with what it requires."